Abstract

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used to describe and compare the performance of diagnostic technology and diagnostic algorithms. This paper refines the statistical comparison of the areas under two ROC curves derived from the same set of patients by taking into account the correlation between the areas that is induced by the paired nature of the data. The correspondence between the area under an ROC curve and the Wilcoxon statistic is used and underlying Gaussian distributions (binormal) are assumed to provide a table that converts the observed correlations in paired ratings of images into a correlation between the two ROC areas. This between-area correlation can be used to reduce the standard error (uncertainty) about the observed difference in areas. This correction for pairing, analogous to that used in the paired t-test, can produce a considerable increase in the statistical sensitivity (power) of the comparison. For studies involving multiple readers, this method provides a measure of a component of the sampling variation that is otherwise difficult to obtain.

Keywords

Receiver operating characteristicStatisticsCorrelationWilcoxon signed-rank testStatisticGaussianSensitivity (control systems)MedicinePattern recognition (psychology)Statistical powerSampling (signal processing)Correlation coefficientArtificial intelligenceMathematicsComputer science

Related Publications

Analyzing a Portion of the ROC Curve

The area under the ROC curve is a common index summarizing the information contained in the curve. When comparing two ROC curves, though, problems arise when interest does not l...

1989 Medical Decision Making 699 citations

Publication Info

Year
1983
Type
article
Volume
148
Issue
3
Pages
839-843
Citations
7003
Access
Closed

External Links

Social Impact

Social media, news, blog, policy document mentions

Citation Metrics

7003
OpenAlex

Cite This

J A Hanley, Barbara J. McNeil (1983). A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases.. Radiology , 148 (3) , 839-843. https://doi.org/10.1148/radiology.148.3.6878708

Identifiers

DOI
10.1148/radiology.148.3.6878708