Abstract

This paper develops a model based on Schumpeter's process of creative destruction. It departs from existing models of endogenous growth in emphasizing obsolescence of old technologies induced by the accumulation of knowledge and the resulting process or industrial innovations. This has both positive and normative implications for growth. In positive terms, the prospect of a high level of research in the future can deter research today by threatening the fruits of that research with rapid obsolescence. In normative terms, obsolescence creates a negative externality from innovations, and hence a tendency for laissez-faire economies to generate too many innovations, i.e too much growth. This business-stealing effect is partly compensated by the fact that innovations tend to be too small under laissez-faire. The model possesses a unique balanced growth equilibrium in which the log of GNP follows a random walk with drift. The size of the drift is the average growth rate of the economy and it is endogenous to the model ; in particular it depends on the size and likelihood of innovations resulting from research and also on the degree of market power available to an innovator.

Keywords

Growth modelCreative destructionEconomicsMathematical economicsNeoclassical economics

Affiliated Institutions

Related Publications

Growth and Unemployment

This paper analyses the effects of growth on long-run unemployment using a search model of equilibrium unemployment where growth arises explicitly from the introduction of new t...

1994 The Review of Economic Studies 684 citations

How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?

This paper presents a measure of the persistence of fluctuations in gross national product (GNP) based on the variance of its long differences. That measure finds little long-te...

1988 Journal of Political Economy 1277 citations

R & D-Based Models of Economic Growth

This paper argues that the 'scale effects' prediction of many recent R&D-based models of growth is inconsistent with the time-series evidence from industrialized economies. ...

1995 Journal of Political Economy 2987 citations

Publication Info

Year
1992
Type
article
Volume
60
Issue
2
Pages
323-323
Citations
6961
Access
Closed

External Links

Social Impact

Social media, news, blog, policy document mentions

Citation Metrics

6961
OpenAlex

Cite This

Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt (1992). A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction. Econometrica , 60 (2) , 323-323. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599

Identifiers

DOI
10.2307/2951599