Abstract

A probability model consisting of a product of multinomial distributions is derived for a bird banding experiment in which a new batch of banded birds is released at the beginning of each year and the bands from the dead birds are returned by observers in subsequent years. The survival and reporting probabilities are assumed to vary from year to year and maximum likelihood estimates of these probabilities together with their asymptotic variances are derived. A goodness of fit test of the model is outlined and this study concludes with a worked example.

Keywords

Multinomial distributionMathematicsStatisticsGoodness of fitMaximum likelihoodEconometricsLikelihood-ratio test

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Publication Info

Year
1970
Type
article
Volume
57
Issue
2
Pages
313-318
Citations
175
Access
Closed

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George A. F. Seber (1970). Estimating time-specific survival and reporting rates for adult birds from band returns. Biometrika , 57 (2) , 313-318. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/57.2.313

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DOI
10.1093/biomet/57.2.313