Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Dan J. Stein; Emily Goren; Chun-Wei Yuan; Jackie Cao; Amanda Smith; Thomas Hsiao; Catherine Bisignano; Gulrez Shah Azhar; Emma Castro; Julian Chalek; Andrew J. Dolgert; Tahvi Frank; Kai Fukutaki; Simon I Hay; Rafael Lozano; Ali H. Mokdad; Vishnu Nandakumar; Maxwell Pierce; Martin A Pletcher; Toshana Robalik; Krista M. Steuben; Han Yong Wunrow; Bianca S Zlavog; Christopher J L Murray

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30677-2

Keywords

PopulationTotal fertility rateFertilityPopulation projectionBirth ratePopulation growthAutoregressive integrated moving averageDemographic transitionCohort effectDemographyProjections of population growthSub-replacement fertilityGeographyStatisticsTime seriesFamily planningSociologyMathematics

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Publication Info

Year: 2020
Type: article
Volume: 396
Issue: 10258
Pages: 1285-1306
Citations: 1330
Access: Closed

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APA Style

                            
                                
                                    Dan J. Stein, 
                                
                                    Emily Goren, 
                                
                                    Chun-Wei Yuan
                                
                                et al.
                            
                            (2020). 
                            Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. 
                            The Lancet
                            , 396
                            (10258)
                            , 1285-1306.
                            https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30677-2
                        

Identifiers

DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30677-2