Abstract

The Bradley-Terry model for obtaining individual skill from paired comparisons has been popular in many areas. In machine learning, this model is related to multi-class probability estimates by coupling all pairwise classification results. Error correcting output codes (ECOC) are a general framework to decompose a multi-class problem to several binary problems. To obtain probability estimates under this framework, this paper introduces a generalized Bradley-Terry model in which paired individual comparisons are extended to paired team comparisons. We propose a simple algorithm with convergence proofs to solve the model and obtain individual skill. Experiments on synthetic and re al data demonstrate that the algorithm is useful for obtaining multi-class probability estimates. Moreover, we discuss four extensions of the proposed model: 1) weighted individual skill, 2) home-field advantage, 3) ties, and 4) comparisons with more than two teams.

Keywords

Class (philosophy)Pairwise comparisonComputer scienceMathematical proofConvergence (economics)Binary numberArtificial intelligenceSimple (philosophy)Machine learningField (mathematics)AlgorithmTheoretical computer scienceMathematics

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Publication Info

Year
2006
Type
article
Volume
7
Issue
4
Pages
85-115
Citations
151
Access
Closed

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Tzu-Kuo Huang, Ruby C. Weng, Chih‐Jen Lin (2006). Generalized Bradley-Terry Models and Multi-Class Probability Estimates. Journal of Machine Learning Research , 7 (4) , 85-115. https://doi.org/10.5555/1248547.1248551

Identifiers

DOI
10.5555/1248547.1248551