Abstract

The future adequacy of freshwater resources is difficult to assess, owing to a complex and rapidly changing geography of water supply and use. Numerical experiments combining climate model outputs, water budgets, and socioeconomic information along digitized river networks demonstrate that (i) a large proportion of the world's population is currently experiencing water stress and (ii) rising water demands greatly outweigh greenhouse warming in defining the state of global water systems to 2025. Consideration of direct human impacts on global water supply remains a poorly articulated but potentially important facet of the larger global change question.

Keywords

Climate changeVulnerability (computing)Water supplyEnvironmental scienceGlobal warmingPopulation growthPopulationWater resourcesGlobal changeNatural resource economicsWater resource managementEnvironmental resource managementWater supply networkGeographyEcologyEnvironmental engineeringComputer scienceEconomicsBiology

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Publication Info

Year
2000
Type
article
Volume
289
Issue
5477
Pages
284-288
Citations
4953
Access
Closed

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Charles J Vörösmarty, Pamela Green, J. Salisbury et al. (2000). Global Water Resources: Vulnerability from Climate Change and Population Growth. Science , 289 (5477) , 284-288. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5477.284

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DOI
10.1126/science.289.5477.284