Abstract

This paper examines the reflection problem that arises when a researcher observing the distribution of behaviour in a population tries to infer whether the average behaviour in some group influences the behaviour of the individuals that comprise the group. It is found that inference is not possible unless the researcher has prior information specifying the compisition of reference groups. If this information is available, the prospects for inference depend critically on the population relationship between the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes. Inference is difficult to implossible if these variables are functionally dependent or are statistically independent. The prospects are better if the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes are moderately related in the population.

Keywords

InferenceIdentification (biology)PopulationEconometricsInstrumental variableReflection (computer programming)Group (periodic table)EconomicsPsychologyComputer scienceBiologyDemographySociologyArtificial intelligenceEcology

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Publication Info

Year
1993
Type
article
Volume
60
Issue
3
Pages
531-531
Citations
6108
Access
Closed

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Charles F. Manski (1993). Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem. The Review of Economic Studies , 60 (3) , 531-531. https://doi.org/10.2307/2298123

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DOI
10.2307/2298123