Abstract
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R 0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
Keywords
Transmission (telecommunications)PandemicOutbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)PneumoniaCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)BetacoronavirusCoronavirusBasic reproduction numberVirology2019-20 coronavirus outbreakMedicineDiseaseInternal medicineEnvironmental healthInfectious disease (medical specialty)Population
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Publication Info
- Year
- 2020
- Type
- article
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 4
- Citations
- 1410
- Access
- Closed
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Cite This
Julien Riou,
Christian L. Althaus
(2020).
Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020.
Eurosurveillance
, 25
(4)
.
https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.4.2000058
Identifiers
- DOI
- 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.4.2000058