Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models

1991 Econometrica 10,954 citations

Abstract

This paper contains the likelihood analysis of vector autoregressive models allowing for cointegration. The author derives the likelihood ratio test for cointegrating rank and finds it asymptotic distribution. He shows that the maximum likelihood estimator of the cointegrating relations can be found by reduced rank regression and derives the likelihood ratio test of structural hypotheses about these relations. The author shows that the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator is mixed Gaussian, allowing inference for hypotheses on the cointegrating relation to be conducted using the Chi( squared) distribution. Copyright 1991 by The Econometric Society.

Keywords

CointegrationAutoregressive modelEconometricsGaussianStatistical hypothesis testingMathematicsSTAR modelApplied mathematicsEconomicsStatisticsAutoregressive integrated moving averageTime seriesPhysics

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Publication Info

Year
1991
Type
article
Volume
59
Issue
6
Pages
1551-1551
Citations
10954
Access
Closed

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Søren Johansen (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica , 59 (6) , 1551-1551. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278

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DOI
10.2307/2938278