Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19

Jan Brauner , Sören Mindermann , Mrinank Sharma , Jan Brauner , Sören Mindermann , Mrinank Sharma , David Johnston , John Salvatier , Tomáš Gavenčiak , Anna B. Stephenson , Gavin Leech , George Altman , Vladimir Mikulik , Alexander John Norman , Joshua Teperowski Monrad , Tamay Besiroglu , Hong Ge , Meghan A. Hartwick , Yee Whye Teh , Leonid Chindelevitch , Yarin Gal , Jan Kulveit
2020 Science 1,082 citations

Abstract

How to hold down transmission Early in 2020, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission was curbed in many countries by imposing combinations of nonpharmaceutical interventions. Sufficient data on transmission have now accumulated to discern the effectiveness of individual interventions. Brauner et al. amassed and curated data from 41 countries as input to a model to identify the individual nonpharmaceutical interventions that were the most effective at curtailing transmission during the early pandemic. Limiting gatherings to fewer than 10 people, closing high-exposure businesses, and closing schools and universities were each more effective than stay-at-home orders, which were of modest effect in slowing transmission. Science , this issue p. eabd9338

Keywords

Psychological interventionClosing (real estate)Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Transmission (telecommunications)PandemicLimitingGovernment (linguistics)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakEnvironmental healthMedicineBusinessComputer scienceOutbreakVirologyTelecommunicationsInfectious disease (medical specialty)DiseaseNursing

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Year
2020
Type
article
Volume
371
Issue
6531
Citations
1082
Access
Closed

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Jan Brauner, Sören Mindermann, Mrinank Sharma et al. (2020). Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19. Science , 371 (6531) . https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abd9338

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DOI
10.1126/science.abd9338